What prevents me from taking the car to work in Oslo city centre in the morning? First and foremost, that parking is impossible. What if your car could run back to park for free further away, and then come back to get you?
What is it that prevents me from getting hold of the nut the bike has needed for so long? Or the literen with milk I should have for breakfast? Today it takes simply for a long time that I bother. But what if your car could drive itself to pick up the things?
Or what about this: I’m going to Trondheim in the morning. Where it would be nice to have a car. I have absolutely no time to even run. When I put me the night before, I send the car in advance. Just as I reach the end at Værnes the next morning, roll the car forward and picks me up. To send an electric car 500 kilometers costs about ten bucks in electricity.
Much more realistic than you think
This sounds probably unrealistic for most, but not for them got the biggest teknonyheten this week: From now on is certainly all Teslaer equipped with all the hardware needed for it called full selvkjøring. Note that this is fundamentally different from the autopilot that is already sitting in these cars. The autopilot allows you to release the steering wheel and the accelerator pedal, but you is still the backup. Just like the pilot in an airplane has the responsibility – even if the autopilot is flying.
The radical with full selvkjøring is that you no longer need to take responsibility for the car. For example, you can be quite bedugget after a tour of the city, but still be picked up and driven anywhere by your own car. In fact, Tesla in the next year send a car from California to New York, including parking in the centre of a very chaotic city – all without human assistance. Not even to shove into the charging socket is needed to people to. Some can sleep in the back seat, if they want to. But it is not required.
Many years earlier than thought
a week ago we had a case with a SINTEF researcher who believes self-driving cars come on the roads in Norway in 2025 – 2030. The week after the show so Elon Musk a video with a Tesla employee who already sits in the car at home and run all the way to the job – without touching the gas, brake or steering wheel. Just outside the main entrance he jumps off. The car only run of the place without some inside, and find a parking space. When he shall drag, just tap on the mobile app. The car runs back up to the front of the main entrance. The driver don’t even need to know where the car had parked itself.
See how the Tesla even demonstrate the car running it all the way to work, today, in the video above.
Even more amazing is that this system already now is built-in all the new cars. The only obstacle is political approval. For the buyers there in the first place free. First, when the politicians allow full selvkjøring, need the buyers to decide whether they will pay for it.
you Will have a private chauffeur on 24-hour guard in the rest of the car’s lifetime, you may pay 25 000 extra for a so-called improved Autopilot. Mon think many think it seems attractive? And to the person who thought this is only for those who can afford an expensive Tesla: the Next year the company’s Model 3, which will cost from an estimated 360 000 – including full selvkjøring. This is not something only for the rich. Right from the start, it becomes cheap enough for most car owners who want the feature.
the Competition problems
And to all of you other car manufacturers: How many of you manage to sell a car that can’t be upgraded to the full selvkjøring after this? When a Tesla that is guaranteed-proof, with its already built-in private chauffeur, at about the same price, is the alternative?
The large the counter-argument will of course be that it seems unsafe to put his life in the hands of a machine. But Musk claims that a fully self-driving car from the first moment will be at least twice as safe as a human-controlled car. In the longer term, these cars, unlike people, will only get better. The goal is to reduce the number of accidents by 90 per cent with full selvkjøring. If everyone had a car, would over a million lives being saved every year. Then begins the counter-arguments to be pretty weak.
We, nevertheless, believe is of course not on him, not just yet. But the documentation that will convince us that he has the right, is already under active innsanking. All the cars that are dispatched since Wednesday have in fact enabled the so-called full selvkjøring in shaded mode. It means that they are constantly documenting everything they do, as the photos in a fly. When the car is involved in an accident with personal injury, it will be possible to say exactly how many accidents that probably could have been avoided if only selvkjøring had been allowed. Then there will be enough momentum on the politicians.
Laws required amendment within the summer
Technology is thus to come as a high-speed train, not least here in Norway. Fortunately, the samferdselsministeren already shown that he has understood that this issue is not going to have to wait until 2025. Before the summer of alerts he is now he is a passed law that will make it possible to test out fully self-driving cars also in this country. The draft is ready before christmas. But in Nevada, it is already law.
the Significance for rural areas will be almost invaluable. Suddenly will distance be a much, much less of a problem. You can sit in the car and working, while taking you to the meeting two hours away. You can get tilkjørt all the goods people have access to in the city, because transport is so cheap. The first cars also making it electric, make that utslippsproblemet also becomes much less.
But, as with all technology, comes the problems here also. They will first become visible in the cities. The space on the roads becomes an even more sought-after scarce. People will no longer kvie to sit in the queue. There is so much more pleasant and entertaining to sit in the car, when you can surf the web while sitting there. All the mennesketomme cars that run with the goods, will also create even more traffic.
Cheap and effective, but usosialt
But I’m a good citizen, one if I send the car around in the city to collect materials for renovation my, maybe on many trips every day to get all that is needed? What if I send the car around to gather the Pokémon? Unfortunately, it will quickly become evident that it is not the price of the transport, but the capacity of the roads that are the limitation. The dream of greater mobility can disappear in one big traffic jam.
That self-driving cars both can become a problem and a wonderful opportunity was a theme in several of the meetings of the Oslo Innovation Week this week. Fortunately, there will be great opportunities to avoid troubles, if only we are willing to tolerate each other, even in the car. The best example I’ve seen so far, is oppstartsbedriften Spiri, which is already in contact with the municipality of Oslo and planning to launch in Germany next year.
This Danish company, with among others a former Tesla chief in the stables, trying to start a kind of bysykkelsystem for cars. The driver should actually be able to run completely free from A to B. It should only take a maximum of 10 minutes more than if he drove his own car. Gjenytelsen is that she takes on a passenger along the way. The passenger, who on average only need to be one of that company should go to zero, pay on the their page the same as a bus ticket costs today. The small disadvantage in relation to a Uber is that you will be picked up at the nearest corner, instead of right by the exit door.
the Problem is that the selfish option of sharing and, namely, to sit alone or with the family in our own car, also will be the closest to disturbing the cheap. Is not the danger that I will seek to avoid awkward breaks, pratsomme alien, hvitløksspisere and all gærningene a big offer?
the Owners can actually make money on the car
If you think it is too expensive for you to buy yourself a the Tesla, you should know this: To spring, Elon Musk announced that he will be unveiling the next step in its “master plan”. It is a packaged network service, an app that will make it possible for owners with full selvkjøring to automatically rent out their car. People on their way from A to B book only your vehicle in the app, and rises on it when it appears.
Already now alerts the Tesla that revenue in a number of cases will exceed the expenses are the car owner has to lease or ownership. Note that you will not be allowed to use Tesla’s cars in this way with Uber or any competitors. Elon Musk will namely have its profits, also in the future.
Consolation will be that of Musk, which now lays the premise for the future of society in a way we hardly have seen anyone do since Henry Ford, seems to understand that sharing is the only sustainable way forward. Let’s just hope the politicians understand that this whole self-driving circuit must be limited through the veiprising. So, we avoid that our cities corks, just because we are not able to control the egoisten in ourselves. Then we’ll also be able to withstand a little hvitløkslukt in the compartment on the road.
Aftenposten follows the development of self-driving and electric cars tight. See how we covered the case in Teknologimagasinet when the Tesla Model 3 was launched:
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